The December Consumer Price Index (CPI) report showed a continued moderation in inflation, offering a positive signal for the Federal Reserve’s efforts to control inflation. Even though the shelter component rose 4.6% year-over-year, it was the smallest increase since January 2022, and remained steady at a 0.3% month-over-month rise for the second consecutive month. Rent and owners’ equivalent rent saw slight monthly increases, while lodging away from home prices dropped by 1%.

Analysts see this slowdown in housing inflation as aligning with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s expectations, suggesting the lagged effects of earlier rent increases are fading. This could give the Fed confidence to continue interest rate cuts later in the year, even if a pause occurs in the short term. Headline consumer prices rose 0.4% month-over-month in December, while core inflation, excluding food and energy prices, decelerated.

Easing inflation, especially the shelter component which makes up over 40% of the Core CPI number, may eventually help to lower mortgage rates, which remain stubbornly high despite Federal Reserve rate cuts. Progress in reducing inflation is critical for bringing it closer to the Fed’s 2% target, currently at 3.2%, and influencing trends in the for-sale housing market.

Source : https://bit.ly/4akfyHz