{"id":4914,"date":"2025-01-27T08:38:59","date_gmt":"2025-01-27T13:38:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/advisorsmortgage.com\/?p=4914"},"modified":"2025-01-24T08:41:48","modified_gmt":"2025-01-24T13:41:48","slug":"consumers-sing-a-different-tune-than-the-latest-jobs-report","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/advisorsmortgage.com\/es\/advisors-family\/30-second-market-update\/consumers-sing-a-different-tune-than-the-latest-jobs-report\/","title":{"rendered":"Los consumidores cantan una melod\u00eda diferente a la del \u00faltimo informe de empleo"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El \u00faltimo informe de empleo de la Oficina de Estad\u00edsticas Laborales (BLS) mostr\u00f3 un fuerte crecimiento del empleo y una ca\u00edda del desempleo de 4,21 TP3T a 4,11 TP3T. Sin embargo, las encuestas de consumidores cuentan una historia diferente. La encuesta de expectativas de los consumidores de la Universidad de Michigan encontr\u00f3 que el 501 TP3T de los encuestados ahora espera que el desempleo aumente el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, frente al 321 TP3T en noviembre. Este es el nivel m\u00e1s alto desde abril de 2020. Mientras tanto, solo el 161 TP3T cree que el desempleo disminuir\u00e1, frente al 231 TP3T en diciembre.<\/p>\n<p>La brecha entre quienes esperan que el desempleo aumente o disminuya es ahora de 34%, similar a los niveles observados antes de las grandes recesiones de 2007 y 2001. Esto genera preocupaci\u00f3n de que las recientes cifras de empleo de la BLS puedan enfrentar revisiones significativas, como ha sucedido en el pasado.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, en febrero se publicar\u00e1n los datos finales del Censo trimestral de empleo y salarios (QCEW) del tercer trimestre de 2024, que se espera que muestre que aproximadamente la mitad del crecimiento del empleo informado en realidad no se produjo. Si se cumplen ambos escenarios, podr\u00eda dar lugar a tasas hipotecarias m\u00e1s bajas a trav\u00e9s de rendimientos m\u00e1s bajos, un mejor desempe\u00f1o de los MBS y, potencialmente, un cambio en la postura de pol\u00edtica de la Fed.<\/p>\n<p>Fuente: www.MBSHighway.com<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"El \u00faltimo informe de empleo de la BLS mostr\u00f3 un fuerte crecimiento del empleo y una ca\u00edda del desempleo de 4,2% a 4,1%. Sin embargo, las encuestas de consumidores cuentan una historia diferente. La encuesta de la Universidad de Michigan <span class=\"gold-text\">[&#8230;]<\/span>","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[12,47,367,26,213],"class_list":["post-4914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-30-second-market-update","tag-30-second-update","tag-housing-market","tag-job-market","tag-mortgage-industry","tag-recession"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v23.7 (Yoast SEO v23.7) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Consumers Sing a Different Tune Than the Latest Jobs Report - Advisors Mortgage Group<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/advisorsmortgage.com\/es\/advisors-family\/30-second-market-update\/consumers-sing-a-different-tune-than-the-latest-jobs-report\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_MX\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Consumers Sing a Different Tune Than the Latest Jobs Report\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The latest BLS Jobs Report showed strong job growth and a drop in unemployment from 4.2% to 4.1%. 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